Technical Analysis (‘TA’) – the Basics

There are two ways to analyze any market; by its ‘Fundamental’ attributes or by its ‘Technical’ charts.

With the advent of personal computing and the internet, TA has become the dominant methodology for predicting stock, bond, commodity and currency market cycles worldwide.

TA is used by ALL major investment banks and international trading desks as the underlying basis for TRILLIONS of dollars in DAILY investment transactions.

How does HousingAlerts Data Predict Future Markets?

Question:

Retrospective data is useful for seeing what happened, but I am most interested in the prospective or predicted data of where some of the markets are headed. How does HousingAlerts data predict future markets?

Answer:

HousingAlerts, is, in essence, a type of artificial adaptive intelligence software system able to detect complex patterns in data.

What exactly is a Wealth Phase?

Simply put, Real Estate “Wealth Phases” are when you can make the most money with the least amount of effort, capital and risk.

This is because:

1) Real Estate values/prices are appreciating, and
2) Appreciating markets are VIBRANT; there are more buyers and sellers, deals are easier to do, real estate is (temporarily) more ‘liquid.’

Real Estate is Cyclical.

Real Estate Cycles – Time Frame

You can’t track small sub (zip code) markets as a stand-alone entity and expect useable, back-testable, provable results. It’s gibberish.

1) Use Technical Analysis with reliable sample sizes.

2) Use TA with proper time frame (see below).

3) Sub-market results are the END point of a complex market analysis,

Predicting Real Estate Cycles

Note: This is part of an email sent to a large real estate investor mastermind group asking about the wrong ways to predict real estate cycles.

The discussion of “Hot Markets” and real estate trends seems to come up several times a year and often leads to confusing, conflicting and questionable content/discussions (imho).

How relevant is the data to commercial markets?

Although the raw data tracks single-family homes, there is a very strong correlation to the multi-family market.

It depends on how many units per property you’re talking about. Two or four unit projects track the single-family market very closely. When you start talking about 200 unit apartment buildings, the “tightness” of the correlation will start to diminish.

Predicting Commercial Real Estate Appreciation Trends

Question:

Can HousingAlerts.com be used to predict commercial real estate appreciation trends?

Answer:

HousingAlerts specifically tracks local residential markets but the cost/benefit and importance of knowing the residential market makes it a no-brainer (in my opinion) for any commercial investing.

The HousingAlerts system relies on repeat residential property transactions because for TA to work,

Multi-Family Market Lags Behind the Single Family Residential Market

In general, the multi-family market LAGS BEHIND the single family residential market. What happened in some markets in this most recent recovery (where Multi-Family rose before SFR) appears to be an aberration.

Technical Analysis (TA) cannot be directly applied to Multi-Family or other CRE (Office, Retail, Industrial) in any particular city for a given three-month time period because there are not enough sale transactions to provide a statistically valid sample size/base.

Does HousingAlerts work for apartments/commercial?

The HousingAlerts system relies on repeat residential property transactions because for TA to work, you must have absolute accuracy in the underlying database. The reason is simple. TA “tracks” subtle changes and, in a sense, magnifies them.

Although most local real estate cycles seem to hit both commercial and residential properties around the same time,

Predicting Commercial Real Estate Cycles

Question:

Can I use this to help predict Commercial Real Estate cycles?

Answer:

I’ve done a lot of commercial real estate, and I would NEVER, not in a million years, ever think about doing ANYTHING in the commercial arena without first checking the local cycle and market indicators, just like we did for residential.

Where can I find my commissions earned report?

To review generated sales and commissions, please log in to your Referral Partner Center, and refer to the left sidebar toward the bottom section, “Reports”.

In this section, you can view your Ledger, Commissions generated and more.

The HousingAlerts Affiliate Agreement Terms & Conditions.

Promoting Your Affiliate Link

HERE ARE A FEW STARTER IDEAS WHERE YOU CAN USE YOUR NEW AFFILIATE TRACKING LINK

Your email signature block
Banner Ads (see the ‘Banner’ link on left)
Share to your social networks like Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, etc…
Forum Posts
Blog entries and ads
Classified ads (online & offline)
Flyers
Handouts (i.e.– at you local real estate club meetings)
Pay-Per-Click advertising
Articles (on &