Published July 8, 2019
Note: If you don’t already have your FREE ‘State Level’ account yet,
Click Here To Grab Your FREE Account NOW!

43% Of US Housing Markets
Declined Qtr-Over-Qtr

Currently, 175 markets (43% of all U.S. real estate) experienced ‘real’ (inflation adjusted) declines in property values compared to the prior Quarter.

For the same period last year 146 markets (36%) saw Q-O-Q declines.

Note: Because of seasonal variations between quarters, it’s best to compare Q-O-Q changes to the ‘year ago’ period rather than the immediately preceding quarter.

(See the entire list of declining markets below.)

In addition to the list of declining cities below, we also use our Advance-Decline (A-D) Indicator that aggregates and tracks Market Breadth.

Market breadth is a study used in Technical Analysis that attempts to gauge the direction of the overall market by analyzing the number of markets advancing relative to the number declining.

Changes in Market Breadth can act as early indicators for changes in the market cycle.

Here’s what the Quarter-Over-Quarter Advance-Decline
chart looks like for ALL U.S. Real Estate Markets.

Advance-Decline Momentum Indicator vs Home Price Appreciation Chart Quarter-Over-Quarter Data 2-Period Average

The BLUE line is the inflation adjusted overall appreciation rate for the average of all U.S. real estate markets (as read from the right axis).

The RED line is the percentage of all U.S. real estate markets that have increased in value on a quarter-over-quarter basis, averaged over the last 4 quarters (as read from the left axis).

Note how the red A-D line almost perfectly mirrors the movements of the blue APPRECIATION line, especially over the last 14 years. 

As with all Quarterly vs. Annual comparisons, you’ll see more variance with shorter time frames. It’s common for this red line to fluctuate up and down.

This A-D Indicator can also be used on State and Regional levels for more granular insights. PRO level members can customize this Advance-Decline tool by logging in and visiting:
Real Estate Market Breadth Analyzer

Below is the list of cities with
declining Quarter-Over-Quarter home prices…

Note: These are 3-month percentage decline rates.
Multiply by 4 to get approximate annual equivalent (at current run rate).

Inflation Adjusted Home Price Appreciation 2018 - List Showing 104 Declining Markets Lost Value Quarter-Over-Quarter

If your markets are on this list, DON’T panic!

ONE data point, whether it’s for a Quarter or a Year, doesn’t necessarily mean it’s time to buy, sell or hold… or do ANYTHING different, other than pay closer attention. That’s where Technical Analysis (TA) comes in.

TA is a 500 year old science to help predict future market swings. TA is used by every Wall Street investment bank and every global stock, bond, currency and commodities trading firm on the planet for TRILLIONS of dollars in DAILY trades.

We invented TA for local real estate
markets and have the most accurate local
market cycle predictions on Planet Earth

If you want to maximize your Investing, Wholesaling and Flipping profits while minimizing risk, capital and effort in ANY U.S. real estate market, you need to invest WITH the market. Come join us and enter the world of Intelligent Investing.

 

 

We have been rolling out some amazing new micro market tools for Wholesalers and Rehabbers. Our Neighborhood Ranking tool alone should save you thousands a month in targeted acquisition and lead generation costs. Click here to buy now.

Intelligent Real Estate Investing (FREE Training)
Sun Nov 17 @ 1 PM ET
Sun Nov 17 @ 7 PM ET
Mon Nov 18 @ 1 PM ET

 

 

+
Perfect! We've reserved your spot:
T

Now, just enter your email below,
and we'll send you your invitation.

We take privacy seriously and we hate SPAM too!