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Quarterly Market Data – Pros & Cons

List of the 199 DECLINING U.S. Real Estate Markets 

The previous Market Report caused lots of questions about when to use “Year-Over-Year” vs. “Quarter-Over-Quarter” data. When analyzing YOUR local market, you need to look at BOTH; they produce very different results in rapidly changing markets (that’s a good thing!). 

Half of all real estate markets lost value Qtr-over-QtrAlmost 1/5th of all markets lost value Yr-over-Yr

You can see from the two headlines above,

Market Breadth Getting Weaker

Half of all real estate markets losing value Qtr-over-Qtr
Almost 1/5th of all markets losing value Yr-over-Yr

I just got back from a real estate mastermind conference; lots of very smart investors. NONE of them knew that nearly 1/5th of all major US real estate markets are now in decline. 

They were blown away when I showed them the list (scroll down).

Technical Analysis (‘TA’) – the Basics

There are two ways to analyze any market; by its ‘Fundamental’ attributes or by its ‘Technical’ charts.

With the advent of personal computing and the internet, TA has become the dominant methodology for predicting stock, bond, commodity and currency market cycles worldwide. 

TA is used by ALL major investment banks and international trading desks as the underlying basis for TRILLIONS of dollars in DAILY investment transactions.

Real Estate Cycle Charts – the Basics

Charts showing the annual appreciation or decline in real estate values over time are visual snapshots of Supply & Demand forces in action. Technical Analysis (TA) relies on these charts because they accurately reflect what ACTUALLY happened.

ANY and ALL Fundamental factors that can and did influence real estate values in THAT market,

STAR Indicators – the Basics

The STAR momentum indicators show the ‘energy’ behind any market. For a sustained up-cycle, it MUST be supported by momentum. Market Psychology influences momentum but is not the only driver.

The first step in locating investment candidates is evaluating the STAR indicators. Each of the six ‘triggers’ represent a distinct Technical Analysis (TA) ‘event.’

The left-most columns are Short-Term triggers and carry far less significance than the Long-Term indicators on the right.

TAPS Indicators – the Basics

The TAPS (Technical Analysis Point Score) indicator is an easy to understand, graphical way to show the results of complex Technical Analysis (TA) ‘Studies.’

The simple ‘slider ball’ can move a total of five notches starting from far left (Weak) to far right (Strong).

If the ball position has moved since the prior period,

Stop Investing Blindfolded

Risks You Can’t Afford…

Imagine piling your family into your car in the middle of a cold, dark, rainy night then speeding down a twisting mountain road, never turning on your headlights, or buckling their seat belts. 

You’d NEVER consider doing that, not even for a second; it’d be irresponsible and just plain crazy. 

Technical vs. Fundamental

Ever since there’ve been markets and cycles, investors have been trying to predict what’s going to happen next. You can reap huge rewards if you get that one piece of information correct.

Trillions of dollars and billions of man-hours have been spent over the last 100 years trying to figure out how to best predict market cycles.

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