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Quarterly Market Data

Published July 18, 2017

List of the 171 DECLINING U.S. Real Estate Markets

Compared to last quarter, the total number of declining markets has improved slightly, but it’s still very alarming.

42% of all U.S. Real Estate Markets Declined Q-o-Q

Currently, 171 markets experienced ‘real’ (inflation adjusted) declines over the last three months.

Market Breadth
Continues to Weaken Y-O-Y

Published May 17, 2017

1/4th of U.S. Markets Lost Value Year-over-Year

It doesn’t feel right.

102 out of the 400 major real estate markets in the U.S. experienced ‘real’ decline in home value Year-Over-Year… they didn’t even keep up with inflation.

NO ONE is talking about this.

I’m not saying the sky is falling,

Quarterly Market Data

Published April 28, 2017

List of the 199 DECLINING U.S. Real Estate Markets

The previous Market Report caused lots of questions about when to use “Year-Over-Year” vs. “Quarter-Over-Quarter” data. When analyzing YOUR local market, you need to look at BOTH; they produce very different results in rapidly changing markets (that’s a good thing!). 

Technical Analysis (‘TA’) – the Basics

There are two ways to analyze any market; by its ‘Fundamental’ attributes or by its ‘Technical’ charts.

With the advent of personal computing and the internet, TA has become the dominant methodology for predicting stock, bond, commodity and currency market cycles worldwide. 

TA is used by ALL major investment banks and international trading desks as the underlying basis for TRILLIONS of dollars in DAILY investment transactions.

Real Estate Cycle Charts – the Basics

Charts showing the annual appreciation or decline in real estate values over time are visual snapshots of Supply & Demand forces in action. Technical Analysis (TA) relies on these charts because they accurately reflect what ACTUALLY happened.

ANY and ALL Fundamental factors that can and did influence real estate values in THAT market,

STAR Indicators – the Basics

The STAR momentum indicators show the ‘energy’ behind any market. For a sustained up-cycle, it MUST be supported by momentum. Market Psychology influences momentum but is not the only driver.

The first step in locating investment candidates is evaluating the STAR indicators. Each of the six ‘triggers’ represent a distinct Technical Analysis (TA) ‘event.’

The left-most columns are Short-Term triggers and carry far less significance than the Long-Term indicators on the right.

TAPS Indicators – the Basics

The TAPS (Technical Analysis Point Score) indicator is an easy to understand, graphical way to show the results of complex Technical Analysis (TA) ‘Studies.’

The simple ‘slider ball’ can move a total of five notches starting from far left (Weak) to far right (Strong).

If the ball position has moved since the prior period,

Stop Investing Blindfolded

Risks You Can’t Afford…

Imagine piling your family into your car in the middle of a cold, dark, rainy night then speeding down a twisting mountain road, never turning on your headlights, or buckling their seat belts. 

You’d NEVER consider doing that, not even for a second; it’d be irresponsible and just plain crazy. 

Technical vs. Fundamental

Ever since there’ve been markets and cycles, investors have been trying to predict what’s going to happen next. You can reap huge rewards if you get that one piece of information correct.

Trillions of dollars and billions of man-hours have been spent over the last 100 years trying to figure out how to best predict market cycles.

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