You Would Never Believe What I’m About to Show You (Were it not for the Indisputable Evidence.)
By now, you hopefully understand the difference between forced and automatic appreciation. If not, click here and I’ll explain it all.
Automatic appreciation requires NO special real estate skills.
It has UNLIMITED acquisition candidates.
It’s All About Knowing When
to Sit Out THIS Part of the Dance.
If you followed my Las Vegas Illustration, you would know that compared to investing in Vegas real estate, even if you sat on the couch eating potato chips for all of the 80’s and 90’s – you still did much,
In case you missed it, you may want to check out the Vegas Article before reading this as we will be working from that example.
Have you ever heard the expression, “Sooner or later, even a broken clock is right twice a day?”
That’s how most folks go about real estate investing.
I was looking to pick up a beach house or two here in Florida before this down cycle ran its course. Not a permanent long term hold, I just wanted to catch the snap-back appreciation wave bound to hit. Some of these markets were pounded so hard they were coiled like a spring, waiting to explode as soon as Market Psychology shifted.
Live Where You Want… Invest Where It’s Best!
Part 1 of 3
Step inside the modern world of real estate investing.
(Click Now & See The Live Streaming Event That Will SHOCK YOU!)
Total Market Masters®
It was never within reach until now!
So far,
Live Where You Want… Invest Where It’s Best!Part 2 of 3
This is a continuation of an amazing real-world investing illustration. If you have not read Part 1, I advise you do so now. Click here.
As “Total Market Masters,” (TMM) you’re no longer limited to only your local area,
Live Where You Want… Invest Where It’s Best!Part 3 of 3
I am going to jump in right from where we left off. In case you missed it, you will want to read the first two parts of this illustration – click here now. Or you can watch the concept unfold on the Live Streaming Event for free – Click Here.
You may know a bit about me and my history. Yes, I am a proud Harvard man. As proud as I am of my education though, my Harvard MBA didn’t help me much in learning how to predict real estate markets. However, I did learn a priceless lesson I think you need to hear about cut throat competition.
There are many ways to make money in real estate. Unlike the stock market or most other asset classes, real estate is what’s called an ‘imperfect’ market; each property is unique, immoveable and illiquid; It creates enormous opportunity for anyone ‘in the know.’
Real Estate is also highly leverageable. You can control a very valuable asset with little (or no) cash investment.
If you dig deep enough, you’ll find similar horror stories for every investing strategy… (like the ones I reveal on the Live Streaming Event you need to see now!)
Remember the big craze over “Subject-To” investing a few years ago? …where you get the deed by promising to take over and PAY the seller’s existing mortgage?
The STAR momentum indicators show the ‘energy’ behind any market. For a sustained up-cycle, it MUST be supported by momentum. Market Psychology influences momentum but is not the only driver.
The first step in locating investment candidates is evaluating the STAR indicators. Each of the six ‘triggers’ represent a distinct Technical Analysis (TA) ‘event.’
The left-most columns are Short-Term triggers and carry far less significance than the Long-Term indicators on the right.
However, all Trend Reversals (up or down) BEGIN with the short term triggers. They provide early-warning signals, especially when they develop a consistent pattern of changing colors (from green to red, or red to green) ‘growing’ from left to right.
Green means positive, upward sloping momentum. Red means the opposite. Yellow occurs when, in the current period, the slope/direction changed for that trigger.
Markets that do not display a consistent color pattern; with seemingly random horizontal color changes from one period to the next, especially in the long-term triggers, are generally lacking ANY momentum, and are poor investment markets for Leveraged Appreciation.
Watch this video:
How to use these hot market tools.
The TAPS (Technical Analysis Point Score) indicator is an easy to understand, graphical way to show the results of complex Technical Analysis (TA) ‘Studies.’
The simple ‘slider ball’ can move a total of five notches starting from far left (Weak) to far right (Strong).
If the ball position has moved since the prior period, it will have a series of arrows behind it. If the arrows are on the left, that signifies a move from the left, from a weaker to a stronger position, and vice-versa.
Each detailed TA Study has its own slider ball indicator and consists of dozens to hundreds of individual calculations (collectively referred to as ‘algorithms’).
These detailed algorithms are aggregated and weighted to produce higher level Summary slider indicators until the top-level, overall score is attained.
Watch this video:
How to use these hot market tools.
Charts showing the annual appreciation or decline in real estate values over time are visual snapshots of Supply and Demand forces in action. Technical Analysis (TA) relies on these charts because they accurately reflect what ACTUALLY happened.
The practice of TA consists of what are called “Studies” – different sets of calculations and algorithms proven over time. These Studies include Market Psychology, the most powerful driver of all.
Because real estate is so cyclical (compared to the Stock Market, for example), relatively simple Studies can be used to accurately track local markets.
Using these charts and Studies, HousingAlerts.com deciphers the data into two broad categories:
1) Market Momentum (the Six Trigger Alert Report or ‘STAR’)
and...
2) TA Point Score (TAPS)
Watch this video:
How to use these hot market tools.
The STAR momentum indicators show the ‘energy’ behind any market. For a sustained up-cycle, it MUST be supported by momentum. Market Psychology influences momentum but is not the only driver.
The first step in locating investment candidates is evaluating the STAR indicators. Each of the six ‘triggers’ represent a distinct Technical Analysis (TA) ‘event.’
The left-most columns are Short-Term triggers and carry far less significance than the Long-Term indicators on the right.
However, all Trend Reversals (up or down) BEGIN with the short term triggers. They provide early-warning signals, especially when they develop a consistent pattern of changing colors (from green to red, or red to green) ‘growing’ from left to right.
Green means positive, upward sloping momentum. Red means the opposite. Yellow occurs when, in the current period, the slope/direction changed for that trigger.
Markets that do not display a consistent color pattern; with seemingly random horizontal color changes from one period to the next, especially in the long-term triggers, are generally lacking ANY momentum, and are poor investment markets for Leveraged Appreciation.
Watch this video:
How to use these hot market tools.
The TAPS (Technical Analysis Point Score) indicator is an easy to understand, graphical way to show the results of complex Technical Analysis (TA) ‘Studies.’
The simple ‘slider ball’ can move a total of five notches starting from far left (Weak) to far right (Strong).
If the ball position has moved since the prior period, it will have a series of arrows behind it. If the arrows are on the left, that signifies a move from the left, from a weaker to a stronger position, and vice-versa.
Each detailed TA Study has its own slider ball indicator and consists of dozens to hundreds of individual calculations (collectively referred to as ‘algorithms’).
These detailed algorithms are aggregated and weighted to produce higher level Summary slider indicators until the top-level, overall score is attained.
Watch this video:
How to use these hot market tools.
Charts showing the annual appreciation or decline in real estate values over time are visual snapshots of Supply and Demand forces in action. Technical Analysis (TA) relies on these charts because they accurately reflect what ACTUALLY happened.
The practice of TA consists of what are called “Studies” – different sets of calculations and algorithms proven over time. These Studies include Market Psychology, the most powerful driver of all.
Because real estate is so cyclical (compared to the Stock Market, for example), relatively simple Studies can be used to accurately track local markets.
Using these charts and Studies, HousingAlerts.com deciphers the data into two broad categories:
1) Market Momentum (the Six Trigger Alert Report or ‘STAR’)
and...
2) TA Point Score (TAPS)
Watch this video:
How to use these hot market tools.
"Don't Invest Blindfolded" is yours FREE! Grab your copy right now.
You’re not only going to miss our state of the art real estate training, but also the 5 most profitable market analytics we’re giving away for FREE. Investing without these resources is the fastest way to LOSE money.
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your custom market analytics immediately!
You must be if you’re a real estate investor and you still haven’t registered for our state of the art real estate training.
Investing without this is the fastest way to LOSE money.
Register for the training below and we’ll send you our 5 most profitable market analytics for FREE!
You will if you don’t discover the dangerous real estate myths revealed on our FREE training.
Register for the training below and we’ll send you our 5 most profitable market analytics for FREE!
Select the day and time that works best for you.
Once registered for our state of the art real estate training, you’ll get FREE instant access to our 5 most profitable real estate market analytics. You don’t want to make a single move in real estate until you see this.
You’re about to miss our state of the art real estate training.
Even if you’re not interested in the training, you need to register below and claim your special bonus – we’re giving away our 5 most profitable market analytics for FREE.
Register for the training below and claim your custom market analytics immediately!
Select the day and time that works best for you.
Once registered for our state of the art real estate training, you’ll get FREE instant access to our 5 most profitable real estate market analytics. You don’t want to make a single move in real estate until you see this.
You must be if you’re a real estate investor and you DON’T take advantage of our 5 most profitable FREE real estate market analytics (and claim a seat for one of our real estate trainings). Investing without these resources is the fastest way to LOSE money.
Register below and claim your custom market analytics immediately!
Even if you’re not interested in the free state membership, you still need our 5 most profitable FREE real estate market analytics (and a seat during one of our real estate trainings…where we reveal the truth about what’s actually happening in real estate). Investing without this information is the fastest way to LOSE money.
Register for our training below and claim
your custom market analytics immediately!
You will if you DON’T take advantage of our 5 most profitable FREE real estate market analytics
(and reserve a seat during one of our real estate trainings …where we reveal the truth about what’s actually happening in real estate)
Register for the Free training below and claim your custom market analytics immediately!
Register below and claim your custom market analytics immediately!
Once registered you’ll get instant access to our 5 most profitable real estate market analytics (and you’ll get a seat for one of our trainings…where we reveal the truth about what’s actually happening in real estate). You don’t want to make a single investment until you see this.
You’re about to miss your chance to get our 5 most profitable real estate market analytics for FREE
(and you’re going to lose your seat for our state of the art Real Estate training)
Register for the Free training below and claim your custom market analytics immediately!
Register for the FREE training call below to discover how you can use these tools to remove your blindfold and master your local market cycles!
Now that you have these powerful tools, the next step is to get on our free training call to discover how you can use these tools to take the ‘risk’ and ‘effort’ out of real estate investing!
Now that you have these tools, the next step is to get on our free training call to discover how you can use these tools to remove your blindfold and master your local market cycles!
Register for the FREE training call below to discover how you can use these powerful tools to take the ‘risk’ and ‘effort’ out of real estate investing!
Being in the right market at the right time is the difference between success and failure. Get on the FREE training call to discover whether your market is heading for turmoil or appreciation (before you invest a single dollar).
Register for the free training call below to discover how you can use these powerful tools to take the ‘risk’ and ‘effort’ out of real estate investing!
This chart displays the inflation adjusted annual home price appreciation rates for the market you selected, overlaid with two Moving Averages lines.
The green line represents a 10-quarter MA and the red is a 20-quarter MA. The shorter the period, the 'faster' the line 'reacts' to changes. In this example, the 10-quarter MA line is called the "fast" MA while the 20-quarter is the "slow" MA.
(The choice of which moving averages to use and a more detailed explanation of how to interpret the results is provided in the Education & Tutorials section. In particular, see the training video titled "Custom Charts Overview" for a discussion of the different decision triggers generated by moving average lines.)
Using these Technical Analysis (TA) tools helps us to decode the market cycle.
The three lines shown on this chart can be classified by how "fast" they move. The blue line represents the actual appreciation rates; it moves the fastest because it represents the raw data, not averaged over any time period. As such, it can move erratically and is difficult to interpret by itself.
Using TA, we add the 'fast' and 'slow' MA lines and then look at what the three lines are doing relative to each other. In general, you want to focus on what a faster line is doing relative to a slower line.
For example, in an emerging market, you look for when a faster line crosses "above" or "over" (i.e. - heading upward) a slower line. So when the blue line crosses over the red or green line, it's a "bullish" sign of a strengthening market. Likewise, when the green line crosses above the slower red line (heading upward), it too is a bullish indicator.
In weakening markets, we look for the opposite. When a faster line crosses "beneath" or "under" (i.e. - heading downward) a slower line, it is a "bearish" sign; an indicator that the market may be losing steam.
Rather than just focus on a single crossover event, such as when the green line crosses the red line, you should monitor several "decision triggers" this type of chart can produce.
For example, let's say we're concerned about a market "top" - our goal is to maximize our return but not hold too long if the market is truly in a nose dive. We want to look for a series of events (over time) for additional confirmation... the point at which you take action is a function of your particular circumstance, strategy and risk profile, as well as what triggers are occurring in other nearby markets.
Here's a typical sequence...
The order will not always be the same as above; it's the progression of events over time that matter most. As new data gets added, are NEW "confirmation signals" being generated?
In the example above, a more conservative investor (one who cannot tolerate much risk), may decide to take action (i.e. - sell property, change investment tactics, invest in better markets, etc.) after the first two events have been triggered. A more aggressive investor may choose to wait until a 3rd or 4th event occurred.
Of course, you can use a similar process to determine when a market has bottomed. Depending on your risk profile, you may choose to 'get into' a market (or change your strategy) when the first two events have been triggered (in an upward direction)... or you may choose to wait for further confirmation signals.
Remember: The first events give the earliest signal of a possible market cycle change. Waiting for additional confirmation signals gives a more reliable signal, but comes later in the cycle. (See Custom Chart Overview video for actual examples.)
