First Major U.S.
Markets to Turn Negative
Many real estate pundits have been pounding the table for years that the U.S. real estate market is on the verge of collapse.
They were wrong then, and they’re wrong now.
First off, there is no such thing as a “U.S. Real Estate Market.”
10 Best & Worst States for CASH FLOW
With our new Cash Flow Finder tool, you can now identify the best and worst real estate markets for cash flow investing.
Using the ‘Gross Rent Ratio’ (Median Annual Rent /Median Home Value) as a proxy for cash flow, you can see the 10 best and worst states below.
We now track, analyze and score median rents paid for Single Family Residential (SFR) properties. We also compute the rental growth RATES for virtually all State, City, County and Zip Code level markets.
We then score and rank each market based on its rent growth and compare it to where it is in its appreciation cycle.
43% Of US Housing Markets
Declined Qtr-Over-Qtr
Currently, 175 markets (43% of all U.S. real estate) experienced ‘real’ (inflation adjusted) declines in property values compared to the prior Quarter.
For the same period last year 146 markets (36%) saw Q-O-Q declines.
Note: Because of seasonal variations between quarters,
July 4, 1776 The Continental Congress declared that the thirteen American colonies were no longer subject to the monarch of Britain and were now united, free, and independent states.
Markets with the lowest priced properties are (almost) always the crummiest markets because they lack appreciation. Makes sense, right? If they were in hot, appreciating markets they wouldn’t be the cheapest for long! Here’s a list of the top 10 STATES, ranked by median house price.
48 U.S. Markets Lost Value Year-Over-Year
Currently, 48 markets (12% of ALL U.S. real estate) experienced ‘real’ (inflation adjusted) declines in property values over the last year.
In the previous quarter, 57 markets had annual home price declines
(See the entire list of declining markets below.)
In addition to the list of declining cities below,
Our new Cash Flow Finder tool is the only place on Planet Earth where a real estate investor can:
Instantly locate the best (and worst) markets for high cash flow properties. It gets even better…
Not only can you now list and rank, from BEST to WORST, every micro-market in the U.S. based on its likelihood to generate positive cash flow, you can ALSO instantly locate the rarest of all opportunities…
For the last 18 months we’ve been locked-away in our lab developing FOUR game-changing new tools: Micro Market Ranking tool, House Value Finder, Cash Flow Finder, Rent Growth Tracker
I believe we’re the only ones on Planet Earth to offer Property Value, Cash Flow and Rent Growth market analysis tools, and we overlay those findings with EACH micro market’s local real estate cycle.
In our last blog post titled “The HOTTEST State for Real Estate”, we identify one state that is red-hot for investing right now.
In this article however, we’ll take a look at the WORST state for building real estate wealth. Its indicators show almost the polar opposite of the hottest state.
To find the weakest states,
There’s one state that’s crushing most of the other states in the country, with 85% of it’s real estate markets being in the top 7 percentile of ALL US markets, and 100% of it’s markets remain HOT.
It’s a state you wouldn’t normally think of, but clearly there’s something going on here that you should take a deeper look at.
57 U.S. Markets Lost Value Year-Over-Year
Currently, 57 markets (14% of ALL U.S. real estate) experienced ‘real’ (inflation adjusted) declines in property values over the last year.
In the previous quarter, 58 markets had annual home price declines
(See the entire list of declining markets below.)
In addition to the list of declining cities below,
Complete the form below to learn more about HousingAlerts!
STAR Indicators
The STAR momentum indicators show the 'energy' behind any market. For a sustained up-cycle, it MUST be supported by momentum. Market Psychology influences momentum but is not the only driver.
The first step in locating investment candidates is evaluating the STAR indicators. Each of the six 'triggers' represent a distinct Technical Analysis (TA) 'event.'
The left-most columns are Short-Term triggers and carry far less significance than the Long-Term indicators on the right.
However, all Trend Reversals (up or down) BEGIN with the short term triggers. They provide early-warning signals, especially when they develop a consistent pattern of changing colors (from green to red, or red to green) 'growing' from left to right.
Green means positive, upward sloping momentum. Red means the opposite. Yellow occurs when, in the current period, the slope/direction changed for that trigger.
Markets that do not display a consistent color pattern; with seemingly random horizontal color changes from one period to the next, especially in the long-term triggers, are generally lacking ANY momentum, and are poor investment markets for Leveraged Appreciation.
STAR Momentum Indicators
Market Momentum (STAR) Indicators
Your State: New Mexico
The STAR momentum indicators show the ‘energy’ behind any market. For a sustained up-cycle, it MUST be supported by momentum. Market Psychology influences momentum but is not the only driver.
The first step in locating investment candidates is evaluating the STAR indicators. Each of the six ‘triggers’ represent a distinct Technical Analysis (TA) ‘event.’
The left-most columns are Short-Term triggers and carry far less significance than the Long-Term indicators on the right.
However, all Trend Reversals (up or down) BEGIN with the short term triggers. They provide early-warning signals, especially when they develop a consistent pattern of changing colors (from green to red, or red to green) ‘growing’ from left to right.
Green means positive, upward sloping momentum. Red means the opposite. Yellow occurs when, in the current period, the slope/direction changed for that trigger.
Markets that do not display a consistent color pattern; with seemingly random horizontal color changes from one period to the next, especially in the long-term triggers, are generally lacking ANY momentum, and are poor investment markets for Leveraged Appreciation.
If you want to know more about HosuingAlerts just click here to learn more.
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TAPS Indicators
The TAPS (Technical Analysis Point Score) indicator is an easy to understand, graphical way to show the results of complex Technical Analysis (TA) 'Studies.'
The simple 'slider ball' can move a total of five notches starting from far left (Weak) to far right (Strong).
If the ball position has moved since the prior period, it will have a series of arrows behind it. If the arrows are on the left, that signifies a move from the left, from a weaker to a stronger position, and vice-versa.
Each detailed TA Study has its own slider ball indicator and consists of dozens to hundreds of individual calculations (collectively referred to as 'algorithms').
These detailed algorithms are aggregated and weighted to produce higher level Summary slider indicators until the top-level, overall score is attained.
(TAPS) Indicators
Your State: New Mexico
This is the Technical Analysis Point Score ranking for ONLY that particular city. It ignores any impact State, Regional or National market TAPS scores may have on that local market.
If you want to know more about HosuingAlerts just click here to learn more.
Close Tab Real Estate Cycle Charts
Charts showing the annual appreciation or decline in real estate values over time are visual snapshots of Supply and Demand forces in action. Technical Analysis (TA) relies on these charts because they accurately reflect what ACTUALLY happened.
The practice of TA consists of what are called "Studies" – different sets of calculations and algorithms proven over time. These Studies include Market Psychology, the most powerful driver of all.
Because real estate is so cyclical (compared to the Stock Market, for example), relatively simple Studies can be used to accurately track local markets.
Using these charts and Studies, HousingAlerts.com deciphers the data into two broad categories:
1) Market Momentum (the Six Trigger Alert Report or 'STAR')
and...
2) TA Point Score (TAPS)
Long Term Real Estate Cycles
Your State: New Mexico
Charts showing the annual appreciation or decline in real estate values over time are visual snapshots of Supply and Demand forces in action. Technical Analysis (TA) relies on these charts because they accurately reflect what ACTUALLY happened.
The practice of TA consists of what are called “Studies” – different sets of calculations and algorithms proven over time. These Studies include Market Psychology, the most powerful driver of all.
If you want to know more about HosuingAlerts just click here to learn more.
Close Tab Percentile Ranking Gauges
These gauges show the exact percentile (rank) of this market relative to all markets. A score of “95%” means that, for this indicator, 95% of ALL markets scored lower. 99% (Green) is the best, 0% (Red) is the worst. Typically, a Master Score in the Green area indicates a hot market.
Exit a market based on declining Master, TAPS and STAR scores, especially when new, emerging markets show much stronger relative strength. Follow the "Wealth Phase" chart (when it is no longer green) for the 'last' indicator on when to EXIT a market.
Before initiating a NEW investment or entering a NEW market, look for a high (green) Master, TAPS and STAR (momentum) scores combined with a 'green' Wealth Phase chart.
If you want to know more about HosuingAlerts just click here to learn more.
Close Tab Close Tab The data and tools seen above in our HousingAlerts Widgets pull the most accurate data in the industry and distills it down to user-friendly values.
We are always reviewing and refining our system to ensure our Algorithms are as accurate as they can be.
Our goal is to empower our users to have full confidence in their Real Estate Investing plans.
If you want to know more about HousingAlerts just click here to learn more.
Help Current Market Conditions
Technical Analysis (TAPS) Map Indicators
1) Higher Scores (towards RED colors) indicate market strength.
2) Low scores indicate flat, declining or otherwise crummy investment markets.
3) If both STAR and TAPS indicators are Orange/Red, check Wealth Phase Indicator for confirmation market is investable.
4) Rank against other investable markets.
5) Obtain full detailed micro market, Wealth Phase and emerging market analysis inside HousingAlerts.com®
(TAPS) Technical Analysis - Raw Score Map
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