Currently, 17 markets (4% of ALL U.S. real estate) experienced ‘real’ (inflation adjusted) declines in property values over the last year.
Here's a real life case study to keep you inspired and motivated.
As a numbers guy, it takes a lot to get me choked up. Let's just say there was a lot of dust in the air when I read this email from one of our long-time members, Mark Grange.
After joining HousingAlerts.com in 2012,
Everyone seems to have a hunch, a prediction… a wild-ass guess really… on where the real estate markets are heading.
They are all WRONG!
There will not be a single impact (one way or the other) affecting ALL local markets the same.
Just like the last time, some markets crashed, some flat-lined and some appreciated.
28 U.S. Markets Lost Value Year-Over-Year
Currently, 28 markets (7% of ALL U.S. real estate) experienced ‘real’ (inflation adjusted) declines in property values over the last year.
In the previous quarter, 23 markets had annual home price declines
Although the number of declining markets is low by historical standards and remains at fairly healthy levels…
45% Of US Housing Markets
Declined Qtr-Over-Qtr
Currently, 184 markets (45% of all U.S. real estate) experienced ‘real’ (inflation adjusted) declines in property values compared to the prior Quarter.
For the same period last year 189 markets (47%) saw Q-O-Q declines.
Note: Because of seasonal variations between quarters,
24% Of US Housing Markets
Declined Qtr-Over-Qtr
Currently, 98 markets (24% of all U.S. real estate) experienced ‘real’ (inflation adjusted) declines in property values compared to the prior Quarter.
For the same period last year 104 markets (25%) saw Q-O-Q declines.
Note: Because of seasonal variations between quarters,
23 U.S. Markets Lost Value Year-Over-Year
Currently, 23 markets (5% of ALL U.S. real estate) experienced ‘real’ (inflation adjusted) declines in property values over the last year.
In the previous quarter, 45 markets had annual home price declines
Although the number of declining markets is low by historical standards and remains at fairly healthy levels…
3 Steps to Finding Hottest Cash Flow Markets for Buying or Flipping
High cash flow markets are typically weak or flat, with little or no likelihood for appreciation. (They generate higher cash flow BECAUSE they’ve not experienced a lot of appreciation over the years.)
When a previously weak or dead real estate market starts a new up-cycle,
17% Of US Housing Markets
Declined Qtr-Over-Qtr
Currently, 69 markets (17% of all U.S. real estate) experienced ‘real’ (inflation adjusted) declines in property values compared to the prior Quarter.
For the same period last year 73 markets (18%) saw Q-O-Q declines.
Note: Because of seasonal variations between quarters,
45 U.S. Markets Lost Value Year-Over-Year
Currently, 45 markets (11% of ALL U.S. real estate) experienced ‘real’ (inflation adjusted) declines in property values over the last year.
In the previous quarter, 48 markets had annual home price declines
Although the number of declining markets has not varied much over the last year or so,
First Major U.S.
Markets to Turn Negative
Many real estate pundits have been pounding the table for years that the U.S. real estate market is on the verge of collapse.
They were wrong then, and they’re wrong now.
First off, there is no such thing as a “U.S. Real Estate Market.”
10 Best & Worst States for CASH FLOW
With our new Cash Flow Finder tool, you can now identify the best and worst real estate markets for cash flow investing.
Using the ‘Gross Rent Ratio’ (Median Annual Rent /Median Home Value) as a proxy for cash flow, you can see the 10 best and worst states below.
STAR Indicators
The STAR momentum indicators show the 'energy' behind any market. For a sustained up-cycle, it MUST be supported by momentum. Market Psychology influences momentum but is not the only driver.
The first step in locating investment candidates is evaluating the STAR indicators. Each of the six 'triggers' represent a distinct Technical Analysis (TA) 'event.'
The left-most columns are Short-Term triggers and carry far less significance than the Long-Term indicators on the right.
However, all Trend Reversals (up or down) BEGIN with the short term triggers. They provide early-warning signals, especially when they develop a consistent pattern of changing colors (from green to red, or red to green) 'growing' from left to right.
Green means positive, upward sloping momentum. Red means the opposite. Yellow occurs when, in the current period, the slope/direction changed for that trigger.
Markets that do not display a consistent color pattern; with seemingly random horizontal color changes from one period to the next, especially in the long-term triggers, are generally lacking ANY momentum, and are poor investment markets for Leveraged Appreciation.
STAR Momentum Indicators
Market Momentum (STAR) Indicators
Your State: Alabama
The STAR momentum indicators show the ‘energy’ behind any market. For a sustained up-cycle, it MUST be supported by momentum. Market Psychology influences momentum but is not the only driver.
The first step in locating investment candidates is evaluating the STAR indicators. Each of the six ‘triggers’ represent a distinct Technical Analysis (TA) ‘event.’
The left-most columns are Short-Term triggers and carry far less significance than the Long-Term indicators on the right.
However, all Trend Reversals (up or down) BEGIN with the short term triggers. They provide early-warning signals, especially when they develop a consistent pattern of changing colors (from green to red, or red to green) ‘growing’ from left to right.
Green means positive, upward sloping momentum. Red means the opposite. Yellow occurs when, in the current period, the slope/direction changed for that trigger.
Markets that do not display a consistent color pattern; with seemingly random horizontal color changes from one period to the next, especially in the long-term triggers, are generally lacking ANY momentum, and are poor investment markets for Leveraged Appreciation.
If you want to know more about HosuingAlerts just click here to learn more.
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TAPS Indicators
The TAPS (Technical Analysis Point Score) indicator is an easy to understand, graphical way to show the results of complex Technical Analysis (TA) 'Studies.'
The simple 'slider ball' can move a total of five notches starting from far left (Weak) to far right (Strong).
If the ball position has moved since the prior period, it will have a series of arrows behind it. If the arrows are on the left, that signifies a move from the left, from a weaker to a stronger position, and vice-versa.
Each detailed TA Study has its own slider ball indicator and consists of dozens to hundreds of individual calculations (collectively referred to as 'algorithms').
These detailed algorithms are aggregated and weighted to produce higher level Summary slider indicators until the top-level, overall score is attained.
(TAPS) Indicators
Your State: Alabama
This is the Technical Analysis Point Score ranking for ONLY that particular city. It ignores any impact State, Regional or National market TAPS scores may have on that local market.
If you want to know more about HosuingAlerts just click here to learn more.
Close Tab Real Estate Cycle Charts
Charts showing the annual appreciation or decline in real estate values over time are visual snapshots of Supply and Demand forces in action. Technical Analysis (TA) relies on these charts because they accurately reflect what ACTUALLY happened.
The practice of TA consists of what are called "Studies" – different sets of calculations and algorithms proven over time. These Studies include Market Psychology, the most powerful driver of all.
Because real estate is so cyclical (compared to the Stock Market, for example), relatively simple Studies can be used to accurately track local markets.
Using these charts and Studies, HousingAlerts.com deciphers the data into two broad categories:
1) Market Momentum (the Six Trigger Alert Report or 'STAR')
and...
2) TA Point Score (TAPS)
Long Term Real Estate Cycles
Your State: Alabama
Charts showing the annual appreciation or decline in real estate values over time are visual snapshots of Supply and Demand forces in action. Technical Analysis (TA) relies on these charts because they accurately reflect what ACTUALLY happened.
The practice of TA consists of what are called “Studies” – different sets of calculations and algorithms proven over time. These Studies include Market Psychology, the most powerful driver of all.
If you want to know more about HosuingAlerts just click here to learn more.
Close Tab Percentile Ranking Gauges
These gauges show the exact percentile (rank) of this market relative to all markets. A score of “95%” means that, for this indicator, 95% of ALL markets scored lower. 99% (Green) is the best, 0% (Red) is the worst. Typically, a Master Score in the Green area indicates a hot market.
Exit a market based on declining Master, TAPS and STAR scores, especially when new, emerging markets show much stronger relative strength. Follow the "Wealth Phase" chart (when it is no longer green) for the 'last' indicator on when to EXIT a market.
Before initiating a NEW investment or entering a NEW market, look for a high (green) Master, TAPS and STAR (momentum) scores combined with a 'green' Wealth Phase chart.
If you want to know more about HosuingAlerts just click here to learn more.
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