The Advice They Gave That Would Have Made You Broke, And Exactly How To Avoid It And Make Huge Profits.
Last time we were looking at some rather, how should I say… ill advised forecasts that were published by Forbes.
If you think that’s bad, take a look at this next published article.
Making money in real estate boils down to these three simple factors…
1) Leverage
2) Appreciation
3) Timing
Leverage & Appreciation are the cornerstones of all real estate wealth.
Timing is the variable that determines if you win, or if you lose.
Let’s look at Leverage…
Just about anyone can control a property with a relatively small amount of cash… or sometimes no cash at all… THAT’s WHY real estate investing makes such good late night infomercials… because any fool can sign on the dotted line and take control.
They always say leverage is the key to massive profits. And it is true as you can see here. However, it is not always true.
Here’s the fine print they don’t tell you about…
Leverage cuts both ways.
Let’s go back to that first example where you actually bought a house putting $10,000 down… this time,
The same local market cycle reality holds for all strategies and all property types. Old concepts die hard. The market always trumps strategies.
Automatic appreciation can be combined with forced appreciation strategies. It works! It’s a lower risk because hot markets are very forgiving!
In each real estate cycle, investors as well as home buyers wonder and speculate when is the right time to buy. Realtors and their national and state organizations are not helpful. According to them, the best time to buy is always now! The argument for urgency is derived from low prices, falling prices, rising prices,
The same local market cycle reality holds for all strategies. Old concepts die hard. The market always trumps strategies. Read more here!
The Elephant in the Room
And Exactly How It’s Crushing the Profits of 99% of ALL Real Estate Investors
Can you hear it?
It’s coming. It’s already here…
And no matter how slick of an investor you may think you are, there’s an elephant in the room. He’s not cute and cuddly;
‘Strategy Based’ Investing Will Leave You Broke: Here’s The Proof!
Knowing when to buy, sell or hold…
Nothing determines your success or failure in real estate more than the market. Period. End of Story.
I’m going to PROVE that to you right now, beyond any shadow of doubt.
The market is in control. If, when and by how much you succeed (or fail) is determined by the market ? not investing strategies or tactics.
STAR Indicators
The STAR momentum indicators show the 'energy' behind any market. For a sustained up-cycle, it MUST be supported by momentum. Market Psychology influences momentum but is not the only driver.
The first step in locating investment candidates is evaluating the STAR indicators. Each of the six 'triggers' represent a distinct Technical Analysis (TA) 'event.'
The left-most columns are Short-Term triggers and carry far less significance than the Long-Term indicators on the right.
However, all Trend Reversals (up or down) BEGIN with the short term triggers. They provide early-warning signals, especially when they develop a consistent pattern of changing colors (from green to red, or red to green) 'growing' from left to right.
Green means positive, upward sloping momentum. Red means the opposite. Yellow occurs when, in the current period, the slope/direction changed for that trigger.
Markets that do not display a consistent color pattern; with seemingly random horizontal color changes from one period to the next, especially in the long-term triggers, are generally lacking ANY momentum, and are poor investment markets for Leveraged Appreciation.
STAR Momentum Indicators
Market Momentum (STAR) Indicators
Your State: Alabama
The STAR momentum indicators show the ‘energy’ behind any market. For a sustained up-cycle, it MUST be supported by momentum. Market Psychology influences momentum but is not the only driver.
The first step in locating investment candidates is evaluating the STAR indicators. Each of the six ‘triggers’ represent a distinct Technical Analysis (TA) ‘event.’
The left-most columns are Short-Term triggers and carry far less significance than the Long-Term indicators on the right.
However, all Trend Reversals (up or down) BEGIN with the short term triggers. They provide early-warning signals, especially when they develop a consistent pattern of changing colors (from green to red, or red to green) ‘growing’ from left to right.
Green means positive, upward sloping momentum. Red means the opposite. Yellow occurs when, in the current period, the slope/direction changed for that trigger.
Markets that do not display a consistent color pattern; with seemingly random horizontal color changes from one period to the next, especially in the long-term triggers, are generally lacking ANY momentum, and are poor investment markets for Leveraged Appreciation.
If you want to know more about HosuingAlerts just click here to learn more.
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TAPS Indicators
The TAPS (Technical Analysis Point Score) indicator is an easy to understand, graphical way to show the results of complex Technical Analysis (TA) 'Studies.'
The simple 'slider ball' can move a total of five notches starting from far left (Weak) to far right (Strong).
If the ball position has moved since the prior period, it will have a series of arrows behind it. If the arrows are on the left, that signifies a move from the left, from a weaker to a stronger position, and vice-versa.
Each detailed TA Study has its own slider ball indicator and consists of dozens to hundreds of individual calculations (collectively referred to as 'algorithms').
These detailed algorithms are aggregated and weighted to produce higher level Summary slider indicators until the top-level, overall score is attained.
(TAPS) Indicators
Your State: Alabama
This is the Technical Analysis Point Score ranking for ONLY that particular city. It ignores any impact State, Regional or National market TAPS scores may have on that local market.
If you want to know more about HosuingAlerts just click here to learn more.
Close Tab Real Estate Cycle Charts
Charts showing the annual appreciation or decline in real estate values over time are visual snapshots of Supply and Demand forces in action. Technical Analysis (TA) relies on these charts because they accurately reflect what ACTUALLY happened.
The practice of TA consists of what are called "Studies" – different sets of calculations and algorithms proven over time. These Studies include Market Psychology, the most powerful driver of all.
Because real estate is so cyclical (compared to the Stock Market, for example), relatively simple Studies can be used to accurately track local markets.
Using these charts and Studies, HousingAlerts.com deciphers the data into two broad categories:
1) Market Momentum (the Six Trigger Alert Report or 'STAR')
and...
2) TA Point Score (TAPS)
Long Term Real Estate Cycles
Your State: Alabama
Charts showing the annual appreciation or decline in real estate values over time are visual snapshots of Supply and Demand forces in action. Technical Analysis (TA) relies on these charts because they accurately reflect what ACTUALLY happened.
The practice of TA consists of what are called “Studies” – different sets of calculations and algorithms proven over time. These Studies include Market Psychology, the most powerful driver of all.
If you want to know more about HosuingAlerts just click here to learn more.
Close Tab Percentile Ranking Gauges
These gauges show the exact percentile (rank) of this market relative to all markets. A score of “95%” means that, for this indicator, 95% of ALL markets scored lower. 99% (Green) is the best, 0% (Red) is the worst. Typically, a Master Score in the Green area indicates a hot market.
Exit a market based on declining Master, TAPS and STAR scores, especially when new, emerging markets show much stronger relative strength. Follow the "Wealth Phase" chart (when it is no longer green) for the 'last' indicator on when to EXIT a market.
Before initiating a NEW investment or entering a NEW market, look for a high (green) Master, TAPS and STAR (momentum) scores combined with a 'green' Wealth Phase chart.
If you want to know more about HosuingAlerts just click here to learn more.
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